5元可提现的电玩城

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5元可提现的电玩城: 基于TEM 培训的航空公司与飞行员进化博弈分析

杨虎,潘乐书,由扬   

  1. (5元可提现的电玩城安全科学与工程学院,天津300300)
  • 收稿日期:2013-07-07 修回日期:2013-09-17 出版日期:2014-08-26 发布日期:2014-10-31
  • 作者简介:杨虎(1965—),男,四川成都人,特级飞行员,硕士,研究方向为通用航空.
  • 基金资助:

    中央高校基本科研业务费专项(3122013X001)

5元可提现的电玩城: Analysis of evolutionary game theory between airlines and pilots based on TEM training

YANG Hu,PAN Le-shu,YOU Yang   

  1. (College of Safety Science & Engineering,CAUC,Tianjin 300300,China)
  • Received:2013-07-07 Revised:2013-09-17 Online:2014-08-26 Published:2014-10-31

摘要:

针对威胁与差错存在的必然性,通过进化博弈的方法,建立了航空公司与飞行员之间威胁与差错管理的进化博弈模型。借助Matlab软件对进化路径进行仿真,分析不同变量对威胁与差错管理的动态影响。研究结果表明,航空公司加大对飞行员的培训可有效削弱威胁、减少差错的发生;威胁与差错的长效监管可从航空公司内部的机制调整着手,建立基于威胁与差错识别的培训,加大对飞行员不作为行为的处罚力度,合理增加航空公司培训成本,充分履行航空公司的监管职能,以更大的力度组织人员学习,加强飞行员对威胁与差错的识别及应对能力。同时,仿真结果也证实了将进化博弈应用于威胁与差错管理中的可行性和适用性,为威胁与差错管理这一新兴领域提供了研究思路。

关键词: 飞行安全, 航空公司, 飞行员, 进化博弈, 威胁与差错管理

Abstract:

For the inevitability of threat and error,evolutionary game model of threat and error management between airlines and pilots has been established by the method of evolutionary game theory. The evolution path is simulated by Matlab,and then the dynamic effect of different variables to threat and error management can be analyzed. Result of the research shows that if more training were provided to pilots,it could effectively weaken the threat and reduce mistakes. In the long-term supervision of threat and error,the airlines should adjust its internal mechanism,the training of threat and error's identification should be established,airlines should increase the intensity of punishments for the pilots'abstain from an act and increase training costs rationally.Besides,airlines should fully perform their function of administration;and greater efforts in pilots'study organization should be given in order to strengthen the pilots'identification and responsing capacity of threat and error. At the same time,the simulation result also confirms its feasibility and applicability,providing research ideas for threat and error management which is an emerging field.

Key words: safety in flight, airlines, pilots, evolutionary gaming, threat and error management

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